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NVIDIA has not introduced a new family of GPUs since its 10 series Pascal arrived in 2016; the lack of new inventory, Dow argued, means the NVIDIA cards now compete with newer options from rival manufacturers. "We also suspect that NVIDIA and AMD have some built up inventory, and ... that will affect ASPs as well," Dow said. "Prior to the surge in buying of AIBs for cryptocurrency mining, AIB prices were flat to declining slightly which is a trend that will continue at least until new families of cards are introduced." NVIDIA's next-generation GPUs may not appear before the end of the year "until after inventory returns to safe levels," according to Taiwan-based DigiTimes. "There is a pent-up demand given that gamers were not buying new boards due to cost and lack of new options," Dow said. "There are some amazing games set to be released this fall, so we suspect that this will impact the market as well and stabilize prices." At the end of June, DigiTimes reported that sales of ASIC-based cryptomining systems had been significantly hurt by slack demand. As a result, GPU prices were predicted to drop by about 20% this month. "Currently, the worldwide graphics card market has an inventory of around several million units and NVIDIA has around a million of GPUs waiting to be released," DigiTimes reported. "With cryptocurrency miners also expected to begin selling their used graphics cards to the retail channel, vendors are expected to introduce major price cuts to compete." Other moves could further roil the GPU market this year.
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